Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Oscars Predictions:
Best Supporting Actor
Weekly Commentary (Updated March 7, 2024): There's no way to prove this statement, but I think Robert Downey Jr is winning by such a wide margin for his work in "Oppenheimer."
With Critics Choice, Golden Globes, SAG and BAFTA in his pocket, no supporting actor winner has lost the Oscar with victories from all four groups.
And then there's Ken. Ryan Gosling's scene-stealing turn in "Barbie" has been a fan-favorite, and with the social media firestorm that's pulsating with the snubs of director Greta Gerwig and lead actress Margot Robbie (who are still individually nominated in adapted screenplay and best picture). People love him, and he does have admirers out there, but so does Sterling K. Brown for "American Fiction." I don't think it's enough to challenge RDJ.
Will Win: Robert Downey Jr. ("Oppenheimer")Could Win: Ryan Gosling ("Barbie")
Should Win: Ryan Gosling
Should have been here: John Magaro ("Past Lives") and Milo Machado Graner ("Anatomy of a Fall")
Read: Variety's Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.
The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10.
** This official list is incomplete, with all release dates not yet confirmed and subject to change.
2022 category winner: Ke Huy Quan, "Everything Everywhere All at Once" (A24)
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood's most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists' representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.